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href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/people\/anthony-h-cordesman\">CSIS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u6c0f\u306f1960\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u6b74\u4ee3\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u56fd\u9632\u7dcf\u7701\u3084\u7c73\u8ecd\u7d71\u5408\u672c\u90e8\u306e\u4e2d\u67a2\u306b\u3042\u3063\u3066\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306e\u8ecd\u4e8b\u8105\u5a01\u306e\u8abf\u67fb\u3001\u5206\u6790\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5206\u91ce\u3067\u306e\u5927\u5fa1\u6240\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u3082\u57fa\u790e\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u56fd\u9632\u7dcf\u7701\u3084CIA(\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u5831\u5c40)\u304b\u3089\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u540c\u76df\u56fd\u3084\u6c11\u9593\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306f<strong>\u300c\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u5efa\u56fd100\u5468\u5e74\u306e2049\u5e74\u306b\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3068\u5bfe\u7b49\u306e\u8ecd\u4e8b\u8d85\u5927\u56fd\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u56f3\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7c73\u5074\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u306e\u5206\u6790\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3001<strong>\u3068\u304f\u306b\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u6838\u6226\u529b\u306e\u5897\u5f37\u3092\u6ce8\u8996\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060<\/strong>\u3068\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306f\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u6838\u6226\u529b\u306e\u5897\u5f37\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u8af8\u70b9\u3092\u5217\u8a18\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u30fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u4e2d\u671f\u3001\u9577\u671f\u306b\u6838\u6226\u529b\u306e\u8fd1\u4ee3\u5316\u3001\u591a\u69d8\u5316\u3001\u898f\u6a21\u62e1\u5927\u3092\u56f3\u308a\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3084\u5468\u8fba\u8af8\u56fd\u3078\u306e\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u4e0a\u306e\u5bfe\u6297\u3067\u306f\u305d\u306e\u6838\u6226\u529b\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u5a01\u529b\u3092\u56fd\u5bb6\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u76ee\u6a19\u306e\u9054\u6210\u624b\u6bb5\u306b\u3088\u308a\u591a\u304f\u53d6\u308a\u3053\u3093\u3067\u3044\u304f\u3002<\/p><p>\u30fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u3053\u3093\u305410\u5e74\u9593\u306b<strong>\u6838\u6226\u529b\u3092\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u8fd1\u4ee3\u5316\u3057\u3001\u6838\u5f3e\u982d\u6570\u3092\u73fe\u5728\u306e200\u6570\u5341\u304b\u3089\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3068\u30822\u500d\u5897\u306b\u3059\u308b\u8a08\u753b\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u305f\u3002<\/strong>\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306e\u5730\u4e0a\u767a\u5c04\u53f0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u30b5\u30a4\u30ed\u306e\u5efa\u9020\u3092\u6025\u5897\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u305f\u3002<\/p><p>\u30fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5730\u4e0a\u767a\u5c04\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u306e\u307f\u306b\u91cd\u70b9\u3092\u304a\u304f\u6838\u6226\u7565\u3092\u5909\u3048\u3066\u3001\u7a7a\u4e2d\u767a\u5c04\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u3001\u6d77\u4e0a\u767a\u5c04\u30df\u30b5\u30a4\u30eb\u306e\u5897\u5f37\u3092\u9032\u3081\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3084\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u300c3\u3064\u306e\u67f1\u300d\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6838\u6226\u529b\u69cb\u9020\u3092\u6574\u5099\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p><p>\u30fb\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u6838\u5175\u5668\u4f7f\u7528\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u300c\u5148\u5236\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u300d\u306e\u539f\u5247\u3092\u63b2\u3052\u3066\u304d\u305f\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u306f\u66d6\u6627\u306a\u90e8\u5206\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u305f\u3002\u81ea\u56fd\u304c\u6700\u521d\u306b\u6838\u653b\u6483\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u6642\u306e\u307f\u6838\u653b\u6483\u3092\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u539f\u5247\u3082<strong>\u300c\u8b66\u5831\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u306e\u653b\u6483\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u65b0\u6982\u5ff5\u306b\u79fb\u884c\u3057\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u6838\u5175\u5668\u306f\u3042\u304f\u307e\u3067\u81ea\u56fd\u306e\u6700\u5f8c\u306e\u9632\u5fa1\u624b\u6bb5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u300c\u5148\u5236\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u300d\u306e\u539f\u5247\u3092\u5bfe\u5916\u5ba3\u4f1d\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002\u6838\u5175\u5668\u306f\u6575\u56fd\u304b\u3089\u6838\u653b\u6483\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u6642\u306e\u307f\u306b\u5831\u5fa9\u624b\u6bb5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3057\u304b\u4f7f\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u5ba3\u8a00\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6575\u56fd\u306e\u6838\u5175\u5668\u4f7f\u7528\u3092\u6291\u6b62\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u539f\u5247\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u4e2d\u56fd\u306f\u6700\u8fd1\u306f\u81ea\u56fd\u304c\u6838\u653b\u6483\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u5f8c\u306e\u307f\u306b\u5831\u5fa9\u306e\u6838\u653b\u6483\u3092\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u539f\u5247\u3092\u81ea\u56fd\u3078\u306e\u6838\u653b\u6483\u306e\u8b66\u5831\u304c\u767a\u305b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u3082\u653b\u6483\u306b\u79fb\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046<strong>\u300c\u8b66\u5831\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u306e\u653b\u6483\u300d\u7b56\u306e\u63a1\u7528<\/strong>\u3092\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u5e74\u6765\u306e\u5148\u5236\u4e0d\u4f7f\u7528\u306b\u3082\u6761\u4ef6\u304c\u3064\u304f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u308f\u3051\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CSIS\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u304c\u6700\u3082\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306f<strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u5074\u306e\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u6838\u6226\u529b\u306e\u898f\u6a21\u306e\u62e1\u5927\u3084\u6838\u6226\u7565\u306e\u5185\u5bb9\u306e\u5909\u66f4\u306b\u3088\u308a\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u304c\u5e74\u6765\u3001\u4fdd\u6301\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u4e2d\u56fd\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u6838\u6291\u6b62\u306e\u512a\u4f4d\u304c\u63fa\u3089\u3050<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u70b9\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6838\u5175\u5668\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5a01\u529b\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u4f7f\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3088\u308a\u3001\u4f7f\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u305d\u306e\u5a01\u529b\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u76f8\u624b\u306b\u8b72\u6b69\u3084\u81ea\u5236\u3092\u8feb\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u4e0a\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3060\u304c\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u6838\u6226\u529b\u5897\u5f37\u304c\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e\u7d9a\u304f\u3068\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u5074\u306e\u6291\u6b62\u3084\u5a01\u8feb\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u6e1b\u3063\u3066\u3001<strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u5bfe\u5916\u884c\u52d5\u3092\u3088\u308a\u5927\u80c6\u306b\u3055\u305b\u308b\u5c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