{"id":85076,"date":"2024-11-05T22:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/?p=85076"},"modified":"2024-11-05T22:20:49","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T13:20:49","slug":"%e7%b1%b3%e5%a4%a7%e7%b5%b1%e9%a0%98%e9%81%b8%e3%80%81%e9%81%b8%e6%8c%99%e7%b5%90%e6%9e%9c%e3%81%af%e4%bb%8a%e9%80%b1%e4%b8%ad%e3%81%ab%e3%81%af%e7%a2%ba%e5%ae%9a%e3%81%97%e3%81%aa%e3%81%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/?p=85076","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u3001\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u4eca\u9031\u4e2d\u306b\u306f\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u306a\u3044"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"e6f52dc566d20a520ffae7bd1dec9ffb\" data-index=\"3\" style=\"float: none; margin:5px 0 5px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<!-- A_728*90 -->\r\n<div class=\"ad-set\">\r\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\r\n.adslot_2 { width: 100%; height: 94px; text-align:center !important;}\r\n@media (min-width:500px) { .adslot_2 { width: 468px; height: 60px; } }\r\n@media (min-width:800px) { .adslot_2 { width: 728px; height: 90px; } }\r\n<\/style>\r\n\r\n<script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- \u8a18\u4e8b\u672c\u6587_\u4e0b\u90e8728*90 -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle adslot_2\"\r\n     style=\"display:inline-block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-9758356432339035\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4435139705\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\r\n\r\n<!--\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle adslot_2\" style=\"display:inline-block\"; data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-9758356432339035\" data-ad-slot=\"4435139705\"><\/ins>\r\n<script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});<\/script>\r\n-->\r\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\"><a href=\"https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/?tag=%E5%AE%AE%E5%AE%B6%E9%82%A6%E5%BD%A6\">\u5bae\u5bb6\u90a6\u5f66<\/a>\uff08\u7acb\u547d\u9928\u5927\u5b66 \u5ba2\u54e1\u6559\u6388\u30fb\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u4ee3\u8868\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">\u5bae\u5bb6\u90a6\u5f66\u306e\u5916\u4ea4\u30fb\u5b89\u4fdd\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc 2024#45<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">2024\u5e7411\u67084-10\u65e5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u3010\u307e\u3068\u3081\u3011<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u3001\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u4eca\u9031\u4e2d\u306b\u306f\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304f\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u5404\u5dde\u30d0\u30e9\u30d0\u30e9\u306e\u90f5\u4fbf\u6295\u7968\u7de0\u3081\u5207\u308a\u65e5\u6642\u304b\u3089\u958b\u7968\u306e\u9045\u308c\u3084\u6295\u7968\u59a8\u5bb3\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u30fb\u30ab\u30ae\u306f\u6fc0\u6226\u5dde\u306e\u6700\u5f8c\u307e\u3067\u6295\u7968\u5148\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u6d6e\u52d5\u7968\u5c64\u306e\u6295\u7968\u884c\u52d5\u6b21\u7b2c\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3088\u308a\u300c\u4eca\u6708\u306e\u300d\u30cf\u30a4\u30e9\u30a4\u30c8\u306f\u3001\u4f55\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u6319\u3060\u308d\u3046\u300210\u6708\u672b\u306e\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u7dcf\u9078\u6319\u306f\u3001\u3042\u308b\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e88\u60f3\u53ef\u80fd\u3060\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u56de\u306e\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u3070\u304b\u308a\u306f\u30014\u5e74\u306b\u4e00\u5ea6\u3060\u3051\u751f\u304d\u751f\u304d\u3068\u3059\u308b\u7c73\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u306e\u300c\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u30aa\u30bf\u30af\u300d\u3067\u3059\u3089\u300c\u4e88\u6e2c\u4e0d\u80fd\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u304b\u304f\u8a00\u3046\u7b46\u8005\u3082\u7d50\u8ad6\u306f\u540c\u3058\u3060\u304c\u3001\u3042\u308b\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u6ce8\u91c8\u306f\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u306b\u3001\u5192\u982d\u3067\u7c73\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306f\u300c\u4eca\u6708\u306e\u300d\u30cf\u30a4\u30e9\u30a4\u30c8\u3068\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u7406\u7531\u3060\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f<strong>\u9078\u6319\u300c\u7d50\u679c\u300d\u304c\u4eca\u9031\u4e2d\u306b\u306f\u6050\u3089\u304f\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u306a\u3044<\/strong>\u3068\u601d\u3046\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002\u7406\u7531\u306f\u6fc0\u6226\u5dde\u3067\u306e\u63a5\u6226\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u8981\u7d20\u306b\u52a0\u3048\u3001<strong>\u5404\u5dde\u30d0\u30e9\u30d0\u30e9\u306e\u90f5\u4fbf\u6295\u7968\u7de0\u3081\u5207\u308a\u65e5\u6642\u304b\u3089\u958b\u7968\u306e\u9045\u308c\u3084\u6295\u7968\u59a8\u5bb3\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027<\/strong>\u307e\u3067\u3001\u304a\u3088\u305d\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u554f\u984c\u304c\u5c71\u7a4d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u306b\u3001\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u63a5\u6226\u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u96e3\u3057\u3044\u300d\u3068\u7686\u304c\u3044\u3046\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u306f\u3053\u308c\u3063\u3066\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u50be\u5411\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001\u4f55\u3082\u4eca\u5e74\u3060\u3051\u304c\u4f8b\u5916\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u30021976\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u6bce\u56de\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u6319\u3092\u30d5\u30a9\u30ed\u30fc\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u304c\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u306f\u6295\u7968\u65e5\u76f4\u524d\u306b\u5fc5\u305a\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u63a5\u6226too close to call\u300d\u3068\u5831\u3058\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u8cfc\u8aad\u8005\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3001\u8996\u8074\u7387\u3092\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u6226\u8853\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u304b\u306d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e09\u306b\u3001\u305d\u3082\u305d\u3082<strong>\u5404\u7a2e\u4e16\u8ad6\u8abf\u67fb\u306f\u300c\u5f53\u3066\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u300d<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u73fe\u5b9f\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u5f7c\u3089\u3082\u5546\u58f2\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5fc5\u6b7b\u3067\u8abf\u67fb\u306f\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u5404\u7a2e\u8abf\u67fb\u3092\u300c\u7dcf\u5408\u7684\u306b\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3001\u5358\u306b\u5168\u56fd\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3067\u6570\u5b57\u3092\u52a0\u91cd\u5e73\u5747\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3007\u3007\uff05\u5bfe\u25cf\u25cf\uff05\u306a\u3069\u3068\u5831\u3058\u3066\u3082\u3001\u6b86\u3069\u610f\u5473\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002<strong>\u771f\u306e\u30ab\u30ae\u306f\u6fc0\u6226\u5dde\u306e\u6700\u5f8c\u307e\u3067\u6295\u7968\u5148\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u6d6e\u52d5\u7968\u5c64\u306e\u6295\u7968\u884c\u52d5\u6b21\u7b2c<\/strong>\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"467\" src=\"https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/J241105miyake01.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-85077\" srcset=\"https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/J241105miyake01.jpg 700w, https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/J241105miyake01-622x415.jpg 622w, https:\/\/japan-indepth.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/J241105miyake01-624x415.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u25b2\u5199\u771f\u3000\u30d5\u30a3\u30e9\u30c7\u30eb\u30d5\u30a3\u30a2\u7f8e\u8853\u9928\u306b\u3042\u308b\u8c61\u5fb4\u7684\u306a\u300c\u30ed\u30c3\u30ad\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u300d\u306e\u9e93\u3067\u884c\u308f\u308c\u305f\u9078\u6319\u904b\u52d5\u306e\u6700\u7d42\u96c6\u4f1a\u3067\u6f14\u8aac\u3059\u308b\u30cf\u30ea\u30b9\u5019\u88dc\uff082024\u5e7411\u67085\u65e5\u30da\u30f3\u30b7\u30eb\u30d9\u30cb\u30a2\u5dde\u30d5\u30a3\u30e9\u30c7\u30eb\u30d5\u30a3\u30a2\uff09\u51fa\u5178\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.co.jp\/detail\/%E3%83%8B%E3%83%A5%E3%83%BC%E3%82%B9%E5%86%99%E7%9C%9F\/democratic-presidential-nominee-u-s-vice-president-kamala-%E3%83%8B%E3%83%A5%E3%83%BC%E3%82%B9%E5%86%99%E7%9C%9F\/2182349131?adppopup=true\">Kent Nishimura\/Getty Images<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u305d\u3046\u306f\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\u7b46\u8005\u306e\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u9078\u6319\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u300c\u4e8c\u3064\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u300d\u3057\u304b\u306a\u3044\u3002\u300c\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u304c\u52dd\u5229\u3059\u308b\u300d\u304b\u3001\u307e\u305f\u306f\u300c\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u304c\u8ca0\u3051\u3092\u8a8d\u3081\u306a\u3044\u300d\u304b\u3001\u306e\u3044\u305a\u308c\u304b\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u7b46\u8005\u306f\u30de\u30b8\u3067\u61f8\u5ff5\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3046\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u306f\u65e2\u306b\u50b7\u4ed8\u3044\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u30fb\u30fb\u30fb\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u304c\u7b46\u8005\u306e\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u898b\u7acb\u3066\u306a\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a33\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u9031\u4e2d\u306b\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u6319\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u4f4e\u3044\u3002\u3055\u308c\u3070\u3001\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u9078\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u6765\u9031\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u66f8\u304f\u3057\u304b\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5909\u306a\u82f1\u8a9e\u8868\u73fe\u3092\u304a\u8a31\u3057\u9858\u3044\u3001\u300ccautiously pessimistic 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